不同选样方法对Pilgrim&Cordery设计暴雨雨型的对比研究     

成丹  陈正洪 《气象与环境科学》2018,41(1):134-139

采用宜昌市主城区国家基本站长序列的逐分钟降雨过程资料,利用PilgrimCordery法(简称"PC法")比较通过自然降雨过程和最大历时过程两种降雨场次样本选样方法推求的设计暴雨雨型,并分析结果差异。结果表明:基于自然降雨过程和最大历时过程选样,利用PC法推求的宜昌市主城区短历时设计暴雨雨型基本都为单峰型,且雨峰均出现在整场降雨过程的前1/3时段。两种选样方法推求的短历时设计暴雨雨型的雨量分配比例存在较大差异,自然降雨过程选样推求的雨型雨峰峰值占总雨量的比例相较于最大历时过程的数值偏大,更为突出。实际工程设计中,设计师应当根据最大历时过程的选样规则进行推求,结合一定重现期下各个历时的降雨量值,进而得到各历时时程分配的具体雨强;计算得到宜昌市主城区重现期2a历时60、120、180 min的雨峰时段雨强分别为1.16、0.86、0.72 mm/min。  相似文献   

2013年重庆秋季连阴雨期间暴雨过程对比分析   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

王欢  李晶  庞玥 《气象与环境科学》2018,41(3):91-99

2013年8月29日9月11日,重庆各地出现不同程度的连续降水天气,持续614天,降水日数多、日雨量大,连阴雨期间重庆出现两次区域性暴雨天气过程,为较严重连阴雨天气。利用NCEP 1°×1°的再分析资料及重庆地区逐日、逐时降水资料及雷达回波资料,对连阴雨天气期间两次暴雨过程进行对比分析。结果表明：此次连阴雨过程中欧亚地区中高纬500 hPa呈“两脊一槽”型,连阴雨过程中两次暴雨过程的500 hPa中高纬形势有所不同,但影响系统均为短波槽;两次过程都存在强大的水汽输送带,因副热带高压位置不同,暴雨区水汽来源也不同,一次来源于南海,一次来源于南海与孟加拉湾。近地层弱冷空气及中层暖湿气流的持续影响使连阴雨天气得以维持,两次暴雨过程产生前或产生时都伴有低层冷空气和中层暖湿气流的加强。由于“9·10”暴雨过程在暴雨区附近有明显的θse锋区,而“9·2”暴雨却不存在θse锋区,因此连阴雨过程中两次暴雨的降水性质不同。在对流并不特别强的暴雨过程中,雷达资料对影响系统强度的判断同样有指导意义。  相似文献   

Circulation Features Associated with the Record-breaking Typhoon Silence in August 2014     

Jianpu BIAN  Juan FANG  Guanghua CHEN  Chengji LIU 《大气科学进展》2018,35(10):1321-1336

Climatologically, August is the month with the most tropical cyclone(TC) formation over the western North Pacific(WNP) during the typhoon season. In this study, the reason for abnormal TC activity during August is discussed—especially August 2014, when no TCs formed. The large-scale background of August 2014 is presented, with low-level large-scale easterly anomalies and anticyclonic anomalies dominating over the main TC genesis region, a weak monsoon trough system,and a strong WNP subtropical high(WPSH), leading to significantly reduced low-level convergence, upper-level divergence,and mid-level upward motion. These unfavorable large-scale conditions suppressed convection and cyclogenesis. In August2014, equatorial waves were inactive within the negative phase of the Madden–Julian Oscillation(MJO), with fewer tropical disturbances. Although the low-level vorticity and convection of those disturbances were partly promoted by the convective envelopes of equatorial waves, the integral evolution of disturbances, as well as the equatorial waves, were suppressed when propagating into the negative MJO phase. Moreover, the upper-level potential vorticity(PV) streamers associated with anticyclonic Rossby wave breaking events imported extratropical cold and dry air into the tropics. The peripheral tropospheric dryness and enhanced vertical wind shear by PV streamer intrusion combined with the negative MJO phase were responsible for the absence of TC formation over the WNP in August 2014.  相似文献   

Predictable and Unpredictable Components of the Summer East Asia–Pacific Teleconnection Pattern     

Xiaozhen LIN  Chaofan LI  Riyu LU  Adam A.SCAIFE 《大气科学进展》2018,35(11):1372-1380

The East Asia–Pacific(EAP) teleconnection pattern is the dominant mode of circulation variability during boreal summer over the western North Pacific and East Asia, extending from the tropics to high latitudes. However, much of this pattern is absent in multi-model ensemble mean forecasts, characterized by very weak circulation anomalies in the mid and high latitudes. This study focuses on the absence of the EAP pattern in the extratropics, using state-of-the-art coupled seasonal forecast systems. The results indicate that the extratropical circulation is much less predictable, and lies in the large spread among different ensemble members, implying a large contribution from atmospheric internal variability. However,the tropical–mid-latitude teleconnections are also relatively weaker in models than observations, which also contributes to the failure of prediction of the extratropical circulation. Further results indicate that the extratropical EAP pattern varies closely with the anomalous surface temperatures in eastern Russia, which also show low predictability. This unpredictable circulation–surface temperature connection associated with the EAP pattern can also modulate the East Asian rainband.  相似文献   

景观尺度、过程及格局（LSPP）研究的内涵及特点   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

王让会 《热带地理》2018,38(4):458-464

景观尺度、过程与格局（LSPP）及其相互作用是景观生态学研究的核心内容。在分析景观尺度及效应、景观生态过程、景观格局及变化的基础上,凝练出了LSPP一体化理念的主要特征,并探索了LSPP中各要素之间的耦合关系。研究表明：LSPP一体化具有一定的理论价值,景观时空尺度是LSPP的重要基础,LSPP体现了景观过程及其生态效应。景观生态研究所涉及的结构、功能、动态与LSPP一体化等的理论与应用问题,随着新时代生态环境的复杂化,在情景模拟技术、大数据挖掘技术,以及生态物联网等技术支撑下,促进了景观生态学机理研究与应用范式的拓展与深化,对于当前区域发展与生态文明建设具有重要指导意义。  相似文献   

植物属性地理的研究进展与展望     

黄永梅  陈慧颖  张景慧  盛芝露  李恩贵  刘鸿雁 《地理科学进展》2018,37(1):93-101

植物属性地理学是植物地理学的一个新兴研究方向,研究植物属性的地理分布规律。目前与植物属性地理相关的研究热点主要集中在植物属性的多尺度表达、植物属性的权衡关系和属性多样性与生态系统功能三个方面。比叶面积、叶干物质含量、叶氮含量、种子质量、植物高度、茎密度是最受关注的植物属性。植物属性需要在植物个体水平上进行测量,然后基于群落内物种相对优势度的加权平均上推到群落水平。植物属性权衡关系主要包括叶片经济型谱及属性与环境因子之间的权衡关系研究。全球植物属性数据库的丰富与共享,推动着植物属性地理学的蓬勃发展。当前的植物属性空间连续分布主要利用全球属性数据库和空间统计建模方法实现,但借助激光扫描和成像光谱技术直接对区域植物功能属性进行空间制图正成为植物属性地理学空间计算的新方法。植物属性的空间格局分析是植物属性地理学的重要内容之一,不仅有助于解释植物物种的适应性与分布、群落构建等问题,而且为预测全球气候变化对植物的影响提供了依据。用植物属性代替物种可以更好地解释植物分布和植物对环境适应的生理机制,所以在全球植被模型研究中开始尝试将基于物种的植被动态模型发展为基于属性的植被动态模型,这将会给全球变化下碳循环过程的模拟和陆面模式带来新的机遇和挑战。展望未来,植物属性地理学仍然需要发展新的研究手段,深化全球植物属性的空间分异规律及其与环境因子之间的关系研究,以及完善全球和区域植物属性数据库建设。  相似文献   

Characterization of landscape pattern based on land economic niche change: A case study in Ganzhou,Gansu Province,China     

Hua Li Tong  Pei Ji Shi  Xue Bin Zhang  Zai Yan Li 《寒旱区科学》2018,10(3):261-270

Land use change has a profound impact on biodiversity and ecological processes, and is closely related to changes in landscape patterns. This paper introduces the theory and method of land economic niche into landscape ecology, which provides a new method for spatial characterization of urban and rural spatial landscape patterns. Based on this theory, this paper analyzes the landscape pattern of Ganzhou District by using Landsat images as data source in 1995, 2000, 2005,2010 and 2015. We calculated the land economic niche by applying the niche potential theory. Combined with the theory of landscape ecology, we explored the effects of the land economic niche change on the landscape pattern at a county scale.The results show that economic niche of construction land, watershed and farmland increased during 1995–2015, and grassland declined significantly. The economic niche of farmland, construction land, watershed and grassland show a negative correlation with the number of patches(NP), fragmentation index(FN) and the fractal dimension index(FD), and had a positive correlation with the aggregation index(AI). There was no significant correlation between the forest land economic niche and landscape metrics. The change of land economic niche has a driving effect on the landscape pattern of the county, which can represent the economic development direction of Ganzhou District. The land economic niche is closely related to the landscape type which can directly obtain an economic benefit.  相似文献   

Changes of multiple cropping in Huang-Huai-Hai agricultural region,China   总被引：2，自引：1，他引：1  

Huimin Yan  Fang Liu  Zhongen Niu  Fengxue Gu  Yanzhao Yang 《地理学报(英文版)》2018,28(11):1685-1699

Multiple cropping index (MCI) is the ratio of total sown area and cropland area in a region, which represents the regional time intensity of planting crops. Multiple cropping systems have effectively improved the utilization efficiency and production of cropland by increasing cropping frequency in one year. Meanwhile, it has also significantly altered biogeochemical cycles. Therefore, exploring the spatio-temporal dynamics of multiple cropping intensity is of great significance for ensuring food and ecological security. In this study, MCI of Huang-Huai-Hai agricultural region with intensive cropping practices was extracted based on a cropping intensity mapping algorithm using MODIS Enhanced Vegetation Index (EVI) time series at 500-m spatial resolution and 8-day time intervals. Then the physical characteristics and landscape pattern of MCI trends were analyzed from 2000–2012. Results showed that MCI in Huang-Huai-Hai agricultural region has increased from 152% to 156% in the 12 years. Topography is a primary factor in determining the spatial pattern dynamics of MCI, which is more stable in hilly area than in plain area. An increase from 158% to 164% of MCI occurred in plain area while there was almost no change in hilly area with single cropping. The most active region of MCI change was the intersection zone between the hilly area and plain area. In spatial patterns, landscape of multiple cropping systems tended to be homogenized reflected by a reduction in the degree of fragmentation and an increase in the degree of concentration of cropland with the same cropping system.  相似文献   

Unprecedented Heatwave in Western North America during Late June of 2021: Roles of Atmospheric Circulation and Global Warming     

Chunzai WANG  Jiayu ZHENG  Wei LIN  Yuqing WANG 《大气科学进展》2023,40(1):14-28

An extraordinary and unprecedented heatwave swept across western North America(i.e., the Pacific Northwest) in late June of 2021, resulting in hundreds of deaths, a massive die-off of sea creatures off the coast, and horrific wildfires. Here,we use observational data to find the atmospheric circulation variabilities of the North Pacific and Arctic-Pacific-Canada patterns that co-occurred with the development and mature phases of the heatwave, as well as the North America pattern,which coincided ...  相似文献   

不同数据源归一化植被指数在中国北方草原区的应用比较     

陈如如  胡中民  李胜功  郭群 《地球信息科学学报》2020,22(9):1910-1919

中国北方草原区生产力在区域碳水循环、农牧业发展中举足轻重。归一化植被指数（Normalized Difference Vegetation Index,NDVI）广泛应用于生产力的计算,然而目前来源众多的NDVI数据反映中国北方草原植被时空动态的一致性仍未可知。本研究利用2000—2015年3个来源NDVI数据集（MODIS NDVI、GIMMS NDVI和SPOT NDVI）并以国际上公认的数据准确性较高的MODIS NDVI为基准对比分析了中国北方草原区NDVI时空动态的一致性,并选取适宜的NDVI产品揭示研究区NDVI长期的时空格局。结果表明：整个中国北方草原区以及部分草原类型（高寒草甸、高寒草原、高寒荒漠、温带荒漠草原）GIMMS NDVI和MODIS NDVI 2套数据集无论是数值范围,还是年际波动和变化趋势具有较高一致性（二者在高寒草甸、高寒草原、高寒荒漠、温带荒漠草原的相关系数分别为0.60、0.47、0.51、0.74）,而SPOT NDVI数值远高于其他2个数据集,尤其是在青藏高原草原区,SPOT NDVI数值每年较另外两套数据集约偏高0.15,表明该区域使用SPOT数据应慎重。部分温带草原类型（典型草原和草甸草原）GIMMS NDVI和SPOT NDVI数据集在年际波动以及变化趋势上具有较高的一致性（相关系数分别为0.85和0.60）,但温带草原区3种数据集NDVI数值范围整体相差不大,小于0.06。基于上述结果,本研究进一步采用时间序列最长且与MODIS NDVI一致性最好的GIMMS NDVI分析了研究区NDVI的时空动态,发现1982—2015年中国北方草原区NDVI整体呈增加趋势,25%的区域达显著水平（p<0.05）,主要集中在温带草原区;高寒草原区NDVI大部分区域变化不显著且有一定比例的区域NDVI呈显著下降趋势。本研究可以为模型数据集选择和预测中国北方草原区植被对未来气候变化的响应提供科学依据。  相似文献